BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Air Force
Class: 1A Class Rank: 108 Overall: (1-4) Overall Strength = 157.83
Conference: Mountain West Conference Record: (0-3) | District: 1A-01 Record: (0-4)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/30/2025 Home W 167.40 49 13 1B 86 (4-2) Bucknell 7.66 * 13.35 28.34
2 09/13/2025 Away L * * 156.34 30 49 1A 59 (3-2) Utah St -3.40 4.11 -15.60
3 09/20/2025 Home L * * 161.85 37 49 1A 61 (3-2) Boise St 2.11 0.93 -14.11
4 09/27/2025 Home L * * 147.43 35 44 1A 99 (4-2) Hawaii -12.31 -10.92 3.31
5 10/04/2025 Away L * 165.69 31 34 1A 83 (5-0) Navy 5.95 -16.21 -8.95
6 10/11/2025 Away * * 1A 78 (5-0) UNLV -11.15
7 10/18/2025 Home * * 1A 103 (2-3) Wyoming 1.12
8 11/01/2025 Home * 1A 66 (2-3) Army -13.00
9 11/08/2025 Away * * 1A 94 (2-3) San Jose St -7.13
10 11/15/2025 Away * 1A 77 (4-2) Connecticut -11.29
11 11/22/2025 Home * * 1A 64 (3-2) New Mexico -13.18
12 11/28/2025 Away * * 1A 125 (1-4) Colorado St 3.13
Averages 159.74 36.4 37.8
Best game: 167.40 = 36 point win over Bucknell
Worst game: 147.43 = 9 point loss to Hawaii
Team stdev: 8.09