BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Air Force
Class: 1A Class Rank: 95 Overall: (4-8) Overall Strength = 146.69
Conference: Mountain West Conference Record: (3-5) | District: 1A-01 Record: (3-8)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/30/2025 Home W 145.36 49 13 1B 100 ( 5- 7) Bucknell -1.22 * 13.34 37.22
2 09/13/2025 Away L * * 135.90 30 49 1A 78 ( 6- 7) Utah St -10.68 4.11 -8.32
3 09/20/2025 Home L * * 145.17 37 49 1A 55 ( 9- 5) Boise St -1.41 1.41 -10.59
4 09/27/2025 Home L * * 139.56 35 44 1A 79 ( 9- 4) Hawaii -7.02 -12.02 -1.98
5 10/04/2025 Away L * 154.94 31 34 1A 66 (11- 2) Navy 8.36 -16.84 -11.36
6 10/11/2025 Away L * * 152.52 48 51 1A 75 (10- 4) UNLV 5.94 -11.53 -8.94
7 10/18/2025 Home W * * 144.33 24 21 1A 103 ( 4- 8) Wyoming -2.25 0.84 5.25
8 11/01/2025 Home L * 149.54 17 20 1A 74 ( 7- 6) Army 2.96 -8.49 -5.96
9 11/08/2025 Away W * * 150.64 26 16 1A 118 ( 3- 9) San Jose St 4.06 -5.08 5.94
10 11/15/2025 Away L * 142.12 16 26 1A 86 ( 9- 4) Connecticut -4.46 -6.49 -5.54
11 11/22/2025 Home L * * 135.71 3 20 1A 73 ( 9- 4) New Mexico -10.87 -4.83 -6.13
12 11/28/2025 Away W * * 163.18 42 21 1A 119 ( 2-10) Colorado St 16.60 3.50 4.40
Averages 146.58 29.8 30.3
Best game: 163.18 = 21 point win over Colorado St
Worst game: 135.71 = 17 point loss to New Mexico
Team stdev: 8.07