BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Air Force

Class: 1A Class Rank: 98 Overall: (3-7) Overall Strength =  145.75
Conference: Mountain West Conference Record: (2-4) | District: 1A-01 Record: (2-7)
                                                                                         pre-game current
 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict Predict
 1 08/30/2025 Home    W     146.44  49  13   1B 100 ( 5- 6) Bucknell                0.62 *   13.35   35.38                      
 2 09/13/2025 Away    L * * 135.37  30  49   1A  80 ( 5- 5) Utah St               -10.44      4.11   -8.56                      
 3 09/20/2025 Home    L * * 143.72  37  49   1A  60 ( 6- 4) Boise St               -2.09      1.41   -9.91                      
 4 09/27/2025 Home    L * * 140.12  35  44   1A  72 ( 7- 3) Hawaii                 -5.70    -12.02   -3.30                      
 5 10/04/2025 Away    L   * 151.33  31  34   1A  70 ( 8- 2) Navy                    5.51    -16.83   -8.51                      
 6 10/11/2025 Away    L * * 150.85  48  51   1A  79 ( 8- 2) UNLV                    5.04    -11.52   -8.04                      
 7 10/18/2025 Home    W * * 146.38  24  21   1A  99 ( 4- 6) Wyoming                 0.56      0.85    2.44                      
 8 11/01/2025 Home    L   * 147.36  17  20   1A  78 ( 5- 4) Army                    1.55     -8.48   -4.55                      
 9 11/08/2025 Away    W * * 152.22  26  16   1A 112 ( 3- 7) San Jose St             6.40     -5.09    3.60                      
10 11/15/2025 Away    L   * 144.36  16  26   1A  83 ( 8- 3) Connecticut            -1.45     -6.47   -8.55                      
11 11/22/2025 Home      * *                  1A  77 ( 7- 3) New Mexico                               -4.82            
12 11/28/2025 Away      * *                  1A 114 ( 2- 8) Colorado St                               4.26            
      Averages             145.82  31.3 32.3

Best game:  152.22 = 10 point win over San Jose St
Worst game: 135.37 = 19 point loss to Utah St
Team stdev:   5.25